How to Verify Your Cryptography's Safety Before Quantum Computers Arrive

Quantum is coming. Use this standards-based checklist and table to verify cryptography safety, cut risk, and start a pragmatic migration plan today.

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Date

Dec 02, 2025

Author

Quantum Canary Staff

0 min read
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Cryptography keeps blockchains private, permissioned where needed, and, most importantly, intact. It works today because schemes such as RSA and elliptic curve cryptography (ECC) are built on problems that are hard for classical machines to solve, making attacks computationally infeasible within the confines of real-world budgets and timeframes. It isn't necessary to have a quantum computer to test that premise; there are mathematical models for how quantum computers work which allows us to develop algorithms for them without having the hardware. 

In most cases, there isn't a mathematical proof that these problems are intractable for classical computers, but decades of exposure and review make it believable. Of course there is always the possibility that someone cracked it and didn't tell anyone.

If you hold digital assets, you probably wonder how to verify cryptography safety in a way that is practical. The short answer is to map where and how your keys and protocols rely on public-key primitives, understand the future risk from quantum algorithms, and plan a staged migration to post-quantum defenses. The long answer is what we discuss here, with specific links, steps, and a table you can act on this quarter.

The Math That Makes Your Wallet Work

Before we get to quantum, we need a short primer on cryptography itself. 

Modern public-key cryptography relies on the hardness of problems such as discrete logarithms and factorization, which underpin familiar Diffie-Hellman and elliptic-curve key exchange. That's why the approved key-establishment schemes in government guidance are built on those problems, and why the transport protocols that move your transactions rely on TLS 1.3 as the current internet standard.

Cryptography constantly evolves under real-world pressure. The OpenSSL Heartbleed incident is a reminder that implementations as well as algorithms must withstand scrutiny, which is a theme reinforced by CISA's official alert describing memory disclosure and remediation. Those lessons also sit alongside official guidance that algorithms with at least 112-bit classical strength remain acceptable and that symmetric ciphers like AES remain appropriate at recommended key sizes. 

In short, how to verify cryptography safety today starts with whether you are following modern, consensus standards and hard-earned operational practices. If you're not up to the bare minimum standards proposed by the government, you're going to be vulnerable either today or tomorrow. 

The Quantum Threat Is Real, But Maturing

We need to be explicit about the nature and timing of the quantum computing risk to establish the proper context for implementing mitigation strategies. 

Peter Shor's landmark paper shows that a polynomial-time quantum algorithm can factor integers and compute discrete logarithms, which collapses the security of RSA and standard elliptic-curve schemes once a cryptanalytically relevant quantum computer exists. That is the threat, but it is not here yet at the required scale due to stubborn error rates and logical-qubit requirements, which is why near-term progress is framed as a multi-year roadmap rather than a severe emergency that needs an immediate and strident response.

But be aware that the fact that the machines are not ready to crack your system today does not make the risk abstract. Policy and expert communities are moving in lockstep to prepare. The NSA's CNSA 2.0 suite establishes quantum-resistant algorithms for national security systems and sets timelines for migration. On the browser side, the Chrome team deployed a hybrid key agreement using X25519 and Kyber to protect session keys against future decryption. Cloudflare has run at-scale experiments and deployments of hybrid key exchange, bringing post-quantum defenses to real traffic paths.

Of course, some industry posts project aggressive timelines, and summaries of error-correction breakthroughs can read like victory laps. The prudent stance for investors and builders is to recognize that the underlying science will continue to advance, but also to treat the quantum threat as a planning assumption rather than a crisis.

How to Verify Cryptography Safety

The steps below will help to reduce theory into concrete checks you can perform, and controls you can adopt.

Start with an inventory of your risk surfaces; you cannot protect what you do not know you use. 

Interagency resources recommend that organizations create a cryptographic inventory and a quantum-readiness roadmap, which CISA, NSA, and NIST jointly endorse. CISA's broader initiative centralizes migration guidance and priorities for agencies and industry. You may balk at following government sources for preparation (some skepticism of their incentives is indeed warranted) but make use of the resources that they've made available for you as a starting point, as they've invested a lot of effort into creating many of the building blocks you'll need, and they need secure cryptography for themselves. 

Next, examine where public-key cryptography shows up in your flow. TLS during transport, key exchange for signing and address derivation, and signatures for transactions are the common places to look, but once you've covered your bases on those fronts, be sure to probe further on the basis of what your organization does and what technologies it implements. 

With that said, the TLS 1.3 specification is your baseline for transport security, and adherence is verifiable in most server scans. For signatures, check what your wallet or chain uses and map it to a migration path; many crypto systems use secp256k1 or Ed25519, which are vulnerable to Shor's algorithm once sufficient quantum scale is available.

You then need to plan a staged migration. NIST has finalized its first three post-quantum standards, with 

NIST's news release summarizes the publication of these PQC standards and the algorithm mappings, so it's a useful starting point for planning mitigations if you aren't ready to dive into the technical documentation right away. Remember that these are your north star for vendor roadmaps and procurement.

Two important caveats will help frame the planning process further. First, symmetric cryptography such as AES or ChaCha is not broken by Shor's algorithm; the expected quantum speedup is quadratic and addressed by larger key sizes. Second, the risk that matters now is data with a long shelf life, especially where confidentiality needs to hold for years.

The Harvest Now, Crack Later Vulnerability

Adversaries may collect encrypted traffic today and hold it until decryption becomes feasible.

This pattern is often called harvest now, decrypt later, or more accurately, harvest now, crack later, and it is receiving attention from financial regulators as well as technologists. The U.S. government's buyer guidance warns that adversaries are actively collecting data for future decryption, along with a call for timely migration, and CISA provides sector-specific advice for staged upgrades that may be relevant to specialized crypto nodes.

This is where a hybrid posture makes sense; the Chrome deployment combines current and post-quantum key agreement to protect session keys today against future decryption. Cloudflare's X25519 plus Kyber support extends that idea to server origins and workers. For many enterprise networks and custodians, the near-term approach is to adopt hybrid schemes in transport and begin testing PQC signatures in controlled environments.

To keep the steps straight, here is a compact checklist to operationalize verification. It is not exhaustive, but it covers the decisions most crypto holders face.

Post-quantum cryptography checklist infographic showing audit, ask, acknowledge, assess, and act steps for crypto security and TLS 1.3 compliance.

There is no magic line that separates responsible preparation from over-engineering or paranoia. The goal is to reduce the attack surface that derives from public-key reliance, while staying aligned with the standards path that your vendors and counterparties follow.

Calibrate Your Mindset

Investors and engineers should avoid two extremes. 

  • The first is complacency, which ignores the evidence that adversaries can bank ciphertext today for exploitation tomorrow. 

  • The second is fatalism, which assumes the sky falls tomorrow -- it won't.

The path to walk is to keep current cryptography tight, adopt hybrid measures where they provide immediate benefit, and line up to swap in post-quantum standards as vendors deliver. This is a manageable set of actions to take, even if it seems complicated to look at all at once. Learning how to verify cryptography safety today means following the best available standards, watching the error-correction curve as it develops in the core technology to avoid getting caught flatfooted, and acting early on data with a long life.

If you are holding assets, running nodes, or building crypto products, you do not need to rip and replace anything. You do need to measure, plan, and move deliberately. The math still holds, the standards are finally here, and the migration path is clearer than it has ever been. Treat how to verify cryptography safety as a long-term discipline rather than a panic button you press on Q-Day.

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Sources:

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Editor-in-Chief
Christopher Smith

Serial Entrepreneur, Hacker, Engineer, Musician.
With a rich career in AI leadership, blockchain innovation, and quantum technology, Chris brings a unique blend of technical mastery and philosophical insight. He continues to push the boundaries of what's possible, driven by a belief that technology, wielded thoughtfully, can redefine humanity's future for the better.

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